
Originally Posted by
Austin
Last year i traded about 2,000-2,500 presents. I traded with people like pumpy and tim tonik, all sorts of people. I witnessed people get souizens with the gifts i was giving. I was trading the right presents. Mainly green (because tim got a souizen from green right in front of me). Anyways after hours of dropping and opening, i didnt get much besides maybe 14 ec, and 70,000+ food. Couple hundred melees too. I was pretty pissed, so i asked what the chances of getting a gold souizen were. I was told by a reliable pra that it was .002%. I asked again this year and got the same answer.
Then i was confronted that it was not true by a different pra; and that only snk knows.
What is the real probability of players getting a nice present this year? Is it .002%?